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TOPIC: The Corona Virus spread

The Corona Virus spread 12 Feb 2020 06:10 #13471

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Things seem to be getting more critical it seems- I looked yesterday and today- and there was a 13% increases in diagnosed cases and a 40% increase in deaths. The WHO expects the spread of the virus to peak in 10 to 14 days, the Formel 1 race on April 19 in China cancelled and no news from BP.

We will see how this all pans out.

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Board moderator and Site-owner. I still regret the day I started analysing the prospects of MacroPore (now Cytori) back in 2004- a left-over from the tech-bubble at that time from the century change in my portfolio- and became addicted to Cytori´s fat cell technology. :cry:

The Corona Virus spread 12 Feb 2020 14:18 #13472

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Much depends on back to work in China....heard of one company reopening and they found someone who tested positive there so now all of the 200+ employees are under quarantine.
Also heard of the first case in London....but spread in the West continues to be slow so far.

Markets don't seem to care...its up up up !

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The Corona Virus spread 12 Feb 2020 20:30 #13473

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Wow !
Cases jump by a 1/3 tonight to over 60K.
Reported deaths at 1,367

1.Question is does this represent a catch-up on the numbers that China was slow to report ?
2.They finally have enough test kits for better reporting ?
3.A new acceleration ?

With the "controlled" information we have it can be hard to judge but I currently lean towards numbers #1 or #2 or a combo there of. Lets hope its not #3.

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The Corona Virus spread 13 Feb 2020 04:27 #13474

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Yes- the spike is substantial- I still do not know exactly what I have to think of this, but am now starting to face the potential fact that it could be pretty dramatic. Indicative could be the few foreign workers infected - for instance the 14 patients which are treated in Germany. They should on average not be too old and should have relatively stable immune systems.

Time will tell.

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Board moderator and Site-owner. I still regret the day I started analysing the prospects of MacroPore (now Cytori) back in 2004- a left-over from the tech-bubble at that time from the century change in my portfolio- and became addicted to Cytori´s fat cell technology. :cry:

The Corona Virus spread 13 Feb 2020 05:42 #13475

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My current understanding in regards to this dramatic jump is China has decided to fully count all those who test positive.
A few days ago Chin said they were no longer going to count those who test positive for the virus but had no symptoms. This was against WHO protocol or at least recommendation. They have reversed this decision and now will report ALL who test positive regardless of symptoms. The big jump therefore reflects the catch-up for the days asymptomatic patients were excluded.

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The Corona Virus spread 13 Feb 2020 11:26 #13476

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The only way this can be contained in the next 6 months, IMHO, is if warmer weather stops similar to how the end of winter ends the flu season. The 14 day incubation period while still contagious is too big of an issue. Here is the latest example: www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-japan-ship/japan-coronavirus-ship-ordeal-to-end-earlier-as-tokyo-taxi-driver-tests-positive-idUSKBN20708N

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The Corona Virus spread 13 Feb 2020 23:02 #13478

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The Corona Virus spread 18 Feb 2020 09:20 #13480

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Interesting question has arisen as to whether the origin of the coronavirus may be nefarious in nature??

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The Corona Virus spread 18 Feb 2020 12:06 #13482

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Speculation of original source has been going on for weeks now and weather this is a man made or natural strain.
Intriguing points on both sides of the conversation but it will be some time if ever we here the truth.
At least China is letting in experts now....so hopefully a broader scope of perspectives will better help those infected.

I also thought the fact that China is now destroying cash in infected areas points to the virulence of this strain.

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The Corona Virus spread 18 Feb 2020 12:43 #13483

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Fact is that the source has not been found from any animal, so the likelihood of another source, with Mercola´s hint in mind, appears more realistic.

That again would mean, that some data would be available (unless politically blocked) and some big savior from the BP world comes up and makes some gigantic money in the next months.

By the way- the German expats from China who were in isolation for two weeks all are back home again and the topic is less hot in the media now.

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Board moderator and Site-owner. I still regret the day I started analysing the prospects of MacroPore (now Cytori) back in 2004- a left-over from the tech-bubble at that time from the century change in my portfolio- and became addicted to Cytori´s fat cell technology. :cry:

The Corona Virus spread 18 Feb 2020 15:27 #13484

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BP may find it harder than first thought.
At least from a timing aspect anyway.
www.wsj.com/articles/gileads-coronavirus-drug-trial-slowed-due-to-lack-of-eligible-recruits-11582003594

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